Data Analysis Narrative

On this page, I analyze the various data that I have collected in this study. It is broken down into three sections: 1893-1912, 1919-1933, and 1893-1933. Most of the charts and tables are in place. I will be adding the narrative around them in coming days.

1893-1912

Analysis of places with median Agrarian vote in Hanover 1

Analysis of places with median Agrarian vote in Hanover 2

High, low and median results for Agrarian candidates

 

1919-1933

1893-1933

Analysis of places with median Agrarian vote in Hanover 1

 

Variables

WK 1

Emden (w/o Emden)

Norden

Leer

Weener

Wester-
ende

Kreis

Uphausen

Kreis

Blandorf

Kreis

Steenfelde

Kreis

Charlotten-polder

Ag/vote

67.7%

67.5%

67.5%

68.0%

68.0%

62.6%

62.3%

70.6%

70.6%

tax/hectare

34.26

52.01

22.92

39.23

23.49

34.26

7.52

38.07

89.26

revenue/pc

16.67

8.05

19.63

28.71

4.26

15.71

103.32

10.25

1.45

population

571

475

450

693

100

571

777

340

129

pop/density

0.64

0.56

0.37

0.67

0.19

0.65

0.70

0.47

0.30

religion

100%

98.6%

100%

96.9%

100%

99.1%

96.5%

98.7%

100%

reformed

Lutheran

-

Reformed

-

Lutheran

-

Lutheran

-

Lutheran

rail station

no

-

no

-

no

-

yes

-

no

rail distance

5.179

5.959

4.563

4.192

3.371

3.160

0.000

7.751

3.980

landscape

Geest

-

Alt
Marsch

-

Alt Marsch

-

Geest

-

Jung Marsch

 

Analysis of places with median Agrarian vote in Hanover 2


 

Variables

WK2

Aurich

Stickhausen

Wittmund (w/o W'haven)

Esens

Asel

Kreis

Strackholt

Kreis

Hollen

Kreis

Leerhafe

Kreis

Thunum

Ag/vote

19.4%

30.0%

30.0%

1.1%

1.3%

19.0%

19.4%

38.5%

38.5%

tax/hectare

54.04

10.56

7.42

10.12

2.86

19.76

9.65

19.60

38.25

revenue/pc

13.77

103.32

229.51

117.94

630.07

41.54

134.51

17.60

12.76

population

744

860

1703

991

1710

734

1298

422

488

pop/density

0.40

0.559

0.50

0.56

0.58

 

0.36

0.49

0.37

religion

100%

99.6%

100%

98.8%

94.9%

99.8%

100%

99.7%

100%

reformed

Lutheran

-

Lutheran

-

Lutheran

-

Lutheran

-

Lutheran

rail station

no

-

no

-

no

-

no

-

no

rail distance

2.870

7.356

18.802

7.513

6.006

6.645

6.093

5.674

2.814

landscape

Jung Marsch

-

Geest

-

Geest

-

Geest

-

Alt
Marsch

 

High, low and median results for Agrarian candidates

place

BdL vote

RR

County/amt

WK

Westerende

67.7%

0

Norden

1

Asel

19.4%

0

Wittmund

2

Upelward

92.5%

0

Emden/Land

1

Uphusen

67.5%

0

Emden/Land

1

Borkum

17.7%

0

Emden/Land

1

Hohegaste

98.2%

0

Leer

1

Steenfelde

62.3%

1

Leer

1

Leer

18.4%

1

Leer

1

Junkersrott

100%

0

Norden

1

Blandorf

68.0%

0

Norden

1

Baltrum

18.7%

0

Norden

1

Midlum

95.1%

0

Weener

1

Charlottenpolder

70.6%

0

Weener

1

Ditzum

14.3%

0

Weener

1

Engerhafe

89.9%

0

Aurich

2

Strackholt

30.0%

0

Aurich

2

Iheringsfehn

0%

0

Aurich

2

Amdorf

70.6%

0

Stickhausen

2

Hollen

1.3%

0

Stickhausen

2

Rhaudermoor

0%

0

Stickhausen

2

Buttforde

80.0%

0

Wittmund

2

Leerhafe

19.0%

0

Wittmund

2

Neustadt-Gödens

0%

0

Wittmund

2

Westerholt

92.9%

0

Esens

2

Thunum

38.5%

0

Esens

2

Utarp

0%

0

Esens

2

Land Emden had 39 polling places, 40 when the city of Emden was included.  Leer 22 polling places, including the city of Leer. The county of Norden had 39 places including the city of Norden.  Weener had 31 places, including the city of Weener.  For the entire First Constituency, there were 132 polling places.

In the Second Constituency there were 105 polling places.  Aurich, 31; Amt Stickhausen, 22; Amt Esens, 27; Wittmund, 23; plus city of Wilhelmshaven, plus city of Papenburg in the county of Aschendorf, Administrative District of Meppen.

Elections in the constituency Hanover 19, Correlation of individual variables and
Agrarian (BdL) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

tax/hectare

0.903

-0.013

0.300

0.110

0.437

0.082

revenue/pc

0.041

0.217

0.000

0.387

0.001

0.345

population

0.034

-0.224

0.024

-0.237

0.009

-0.271

pop/density

0.067

-0.195

0.019

-0.246

0.007

-0.282

religion

0.113

0.169

0.019

0.246

0.000

0.398

county

0.148

-0.155

0.457

-0.079

0.021

-0.242

rail station

0.000

 

0.000

 

0.000

 

rail distance

0.000

0.435

0.000

0.425

0.000

0.429

landscape

0.920

0.011

0.545

-0.064

0.661

-0.047

Elections in the constituency Hanover 1, Correlation of individual variables and
German Conservative (DKP) or Agrarian (BdL) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

tax/hectare

0.124

-0.138

0.903

-0.011

0.284

-0.096

revenue/pc

0.001

0.283

0.000

0.307

0.066

0.164

population

0.000

0.829

0.000

0.760

0.000

0.898

pop/density

0.000

0.424

0.000

0.466

0.000

0.573

religion

0.000

0.761

0.000

0.669

0.000

0.821

reformed

0.132

0.136

0.014

0.218

0.047

0.176

county

0.066

-0.162

0.808

0.021

0.648

0.040

rail station

0.433

 

0.002

 

0.000

 

rail distance

0.024

-0.168

0.019

0.207

0.002

-0.275

landscape

0.000

-0.353

0.072

-0.163

0.969

-0.004

 

Elections in the constituency Oldenburg 2, Correlation of individual variables and
National Liberal (NLP) or Agrarian (BdL) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

tax/hectare

0.920

-0.014

0.449

0.101

0.707

-0.050

revenue/pc

0.014

0.320

0.019

0.308

0.029

0.287

population

0.078

-0.233

0.006

-0.356

0.200

-0.171

pop/density

0.220

-0164

0.024

-0.295

0.208

-0.168

religion

 

 

 

 

 

 

county

0.943

-0.010

0.063

-0.246

0.770

-0.039

rail station

0.011

 

0.003

 

0.299

 

rail distance

0.118

0.209

0.025

0.296

0.538

0.083

landscape

0.150

0.191

0.217

0.164

0.004

0.370

 


Liberal values

Elections in the constituency Hanover 19, Correlation of individual variables and
Liberal (NLP) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

tax/hectare

0.127

-0.163

0.001

-0.332

0.050

-0.206

revenue/pc

0.095

-0.178

0.002

-0.318

0.023

-0.238

population

0.669

0.046

0.985

0.002

0.767

0.032

pop/density

0.390

0.092

0.322

0.105

0.076

0.187

religion

0.133

-0.160

0.111

-0.168

0.732

-0.036

county

0.107

0.172

0.561

0.062

0.001

0.351

rail station

0.021

 

0.120

 

0.000

 

rail distance

0.488

-0.075

0.319

-0.106

0.239

-0.125

landscape

0.091

0.180

0.010

0.269

0.269

0.275

 

Elections in the constituency Hanover 1, Correlation of individual variables and
National Liberal (NLP) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

tax/hectare

0.295

0.094

0.584

0.049

0.820

0.020

revenue/pc

0.144

0.132

0.049

0.175

0.011

0.224

population

0.000

0.945

0.000

0.982

0.000

0.980

pop/density

0.000

0.518

0.072

0.157

0.000

0.415

religion

0.000

0.930

0.000

0.972

0.000

0.972

reformed

0.001

0.283

0.000

0.308

0.001

0.301

county

0.037

0.183

0.813

0.021

0.649

-0.040

rail station

0.885

 

0.004

 

0.031

 

rail distance

0.006

0.205

0.073

-0.159

0.037

-0.184

landscape

0.002

0.241

0.170

0.125

0.970

-0.003

Elections in the constituency Oldenburg 2, Correlation of individual variables and
Radical Peoples Party (FVP) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

tax/hectare

0.194

-0.173

0.183

-0.177

0.019

-0.307

revenue/pc

0.004

-0.376

0.121

-0.206

0.894

-0.018

population

0.999

-0.000

0.645

0.062

0.116

-0.208

pop/density

0.433

-0.105

0.922

-0.013

0.046

-0.263

religion

 

 

 

 

 

 

county

0.662

0.059

0.147

0.193

0.161

0.187

rail station

0.030

 

0.031

 

0.250

 

rail distance

0.172

-0.183

0.538

-0.255

0.373

0.120

landscape

0.690

-0.053

0.396

-0.113

0.683

-0.055


 


Significant values

Elections in the constituency Hanover 19, Correlation of individual variables and
Agrarian (BdL) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

revenue/pc

0.041

0.217

0.000

0.387

0.001

0.345

population

0.034

-0.224

0.024

-0.237

0.009

-0.271

pop/density

0.067

-0.195

0.019

-0.246

0.007

-0.282

religion

0.113

0.169

0.019

0.246

0.000

0.398

rail station

0.000

 

0.000

 

0.000

 

rail distance

0.000

0.435

0.000

0.425

0.000

0.429

Elections in the constituency Hanover 1, Correlation of individual variables and
German Conservative (DKP) or Agrarian (BdL) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

revenue/pc

0.001

0.283

0.000

0.307

0.066

0.164

population

0.000

0.829

0.000

0.760

0.000

0.898

pop/density

0.000

0.424

0.000

0.466

0.000

0.573

religion

0.000

0.761

0.000

0.669

0.000

0.821

rail station

0.433

 

0.002

 

0.000

 

rail distance

0.024

-0.168

0.019

0.207

0.002

-0.275

landscape

0.000

-0.353

0.072

-0.163

0.969

-0.004

 

Elections in the constituency Oldenburg 2, Correlation of individual variables and
National Liberal (NLP) or Agrarian (BdL) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

population

0.078

-0.233

0.006

-0.356

0.200

-0.171

rail station

0.011

 

0.003

 

0.299

 

landscape

0.150

0.191

0.217

0.164

0.004

0.370

 

Elections in the constituency Hanover 19, Correlation of individual variables and
Liberal (NLP) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

tax/hectare

0.127

-0.163

0.001

-0.332

0.050

-0.206

revenue/pc

0.095

-0.178

0.002

-0.318

0.023

-0.238

county

0.107

0.172

0.561

0.062

0.001

0.351

rail station

0.021

 

0.120

 

0.000

 

landscape

0.091

0.180

0.010

0.269

0.269

0.275

 

Elections in the constituency Hanover 1, Correlation of individual variables and
National Liberal (NLP) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

population

0.000

0.945

0.000

0.982

0.000

0.980

pop/density

0.000

0.518

0.072

0.157

0.000

0.415

religion

0.000

0.930

0.000

0.972

0.000

0.972

reformed

0.001

0.283

0.000

0.308

0.001

0.301

rail station

0.885

 

0.004

 

0.031

 

rail distance

0.006

0.205

0.073

-0.159

0.037

-0.184

landscape

0.002

0.241

0.170

0.125

0.970

-0.003

Elections in the constituency Oldenburg 2, Correlation of individual variables and
Radical Peoples Party (FVP) percentage of votes by election

Variables

1893

1898

1903

P

R

P

R

P

R

revenue/pc

0.004

-0.376

0.121

-0.206

0.894

-0.018

 

Mapping Agrarian dominance, 1893-1912

 

votes for conservatives

percentage of conservative votes

distribution

data distribution